PO.PS01.06 · 人群科学

Physical activity and overall and cancer-specific mortality in postmenopausal women with breast cancer: A competing risks analysis with 19-year follow-up

编号 5032 展板 5 🕑 4/21 09:00–12:00 📍 Section 35 主讲 Jaime Castillo Silva, MD
分会场 Diet, Alcohol, and Tobacco, and Other Lifestyle Factors
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作者与单位 Authors & Affiliations

Jaime I. Castillo Silva1, Lina S. Palacio Mejia1, Juan E. Hernandez Avila1, Salvador Zamora Muñoz2, Rocío Rodriguez Valentin1, Angélica Angeles Llerenas1, Amado Jiménez Avila3, Gabriela Torres Mejía1

1Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública, Cuernavaca, Mexico,2Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City, Mexico,3Hospital Regional Alta Especialidad de Ixtapaluca, Ixtapaluca, Mexico

摘要 Abstract

Background: As breast cancer survivors live longer, non-cancer mortality competes with cancer mortality. However, many studies evaluating physical activity have not accounted for competing risks or adequately tested effect modification by menopausal status. Therefore, we aimed to assess the association between physical activity and mortality in women with breast cancer, accounting for menopausal status and competing risks. Methods: We analyzed 1000 breast cancer cases from the multicenter CAMA study in Mexico with 19-year follow-up. Usual hours of leisure-time moderate-to-vigorous physical activity before breast cancer diagnosis or symptoms were dichotomized at 2.5 h/week. Primary outcomes were overall, cancer, and non-cancer mortality. We used a two-stage analysis: (1) Cox model for overall mortality testing menopausal status as an effect modifier, and (2) Fine-Gray competing risks models in strata with significant effects. Models were adjusted for DAG-derived clinical, lifestyle, and socioeconomic confounders. Missing data were handled using Multiple Imputation by Chained Equations with Random Forest. Results: Menopausal status significantly modified the association between physical activity and overall mortality (p=0.035). In postmenopausal women (n=584), physical activity was associated with reduced mortality (Table), with no significant association in premenopausal women. Conclusions: In postmenopausal women with breast cancer, physical activity before diagnosis or symptoms was associated with lower overall mortality at long-term follow-up. This benefit reflects significantly lower cancer-specific mortality when accounting for competing non-cancer mortality. These findings underscore the importance of physical activity after menopause and highlight the need for methodological approaches that jointly consider menopausal status and competing risks in survivorship research. Association of physical activity and mortality outcomes in postmenopausal women with breast cancer Outcome HR/sHR (95% CI) p-value Overall mortality 0.59 (0.41-0.84) 0.004 Cancer mortality 0.63 (0.40-0.98) 0.042 Non-cancer mortality 0.63 (0.35-1.14) 0.125 Models adjusted for age, clinical stage, comorbidities, Diet Inflammatory Index, alcohol, smoking, education, residence, and healthcare access. HR = hazard ratio (Cox model); sHR = subdistribution hazard ratio (Fine-Gray models).
利益披露 Disclosure
J. I. Castillo Silva, None.. L. S. Palacio Mejia, None.. J. E. Hernandez Avila, None.. S. Zamora Muñoz, None.. R. Rodriguez Valentin, None.. A. Angeles Llerenas, None.. A. Jiménez Avila, None.. G. Torres Mejía, None.

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