Identification of survival-associated germline variants in hepatocellular carcinoma

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide. Prognostic models for HCC primarily rely on tumor burden and liver function, with limited consideration of inherited genetic contributions to survival variability. Identifying germline variants associated with survival could refine prognosis and reveal biological mechanisms underlying disease progression. Methods: We conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of overall survival among 864 patients with HCC from the M.D. Anderson Cancer Center cohort. Genotyping, quality control, and imputation procedures followed previously described protocols (PMID: 38381705). Associations between genetic variants and overall survival were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex, and the first five principal components. Genome-wide significance was defined as P < 5×10 -8 . Functional annotation and pathway enrichment analyses (MAGMA) were employed to investigate the biological relevance of the identified loci. Results: After quality control, 8,525,017 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were analyzed. We identified seven new loci associated with HCC survival at the genome-wide significance level. Five out of seven loci are associated with anthropometric traits and hematological measurement traits, reflecting metabolism, hematopoiesis, immune function, and inflammation. A variant in the 3′ untranslated region (UTR3) of STX7 showed a genome-wide significant association with overall survival (HR = 3.23; P = 2.56 ×10⁻⁸). Carriers of the risk allele had significantly shorter survival times compared with noncarriers. Pathway analysis revealed enrichment in biologically relevant processes, including liver growth and regeneration (growth hormone and Interleukin-6 (IL-6) signaling pathway), implicating hepatocyte proliferation and IL-6/STAT3-mediated inflammatory signaling. Immune-related pathways, such as regulation of T cell activation and myeloid leukocyte migration, highlight the role of germline variation in immune surveillance. Moreover, pathways governing vascular remodeling and metabolic stress response (e.g., JAK activation, mitochondrial dynamics) suggest that inherited determinants of microenvironmental structure and hepatocyte resilience influence patient outcomes. Conclusion: This germline GWAS of HCC survival identifies seven new genome-wide significant loci and implicates pathways involved in liver regeneration, inflammation, and tissue remodeling. These findings support a role for inherited genetic variation in shaping HCC prognosis and underscore the potential of integrating germline genetics into prognostic modelling and therapeutic target discovery.