Genetic risk of prostate cancer: Insights from the Prostate Cancer Sequencing Consortium

Inherited susceptibility plays a critical role in prostate cancer (PCa) risk. Using large biobank and case-control datasets, we evaluated the contribution of both common variants and rare germline pathogenic variants (PVs) to overall PCa risk. The Prostate Cancer Exome Sequencing Consortium currently includes 427,388 male participants (51,452 PCa cases and 375,936 controls) with whole-exome sequencing data from ten biobanks and studies: UK Biobank (14,669 cases/195,600 controls), All of Us Research Program (7,577/75,226), African Ancestry Prostate Cancer Consortium (7,176/4,675), Mayo Clinic Biobank (6,031/15,084), Mass General Brigham Biobank (3,393/14,095), Geisinger's MyCode Community Health Initiative (3,026/15,130), UCLA ATLAS Precision Medicine Biobank (2,850/16,904), Penn Medicine Biobank (2,598/16,255), Colorado Center for Personalized Medicine (2,269/13,399), and Malmo Diet and Cancer (1,863/9,568). Based on self-reported race/ethnicity and estimated genetic ancestry, the cases comprise approximately 79% European, 18% African, and 3% other ancestry populations. Single-variant association analyses tested all variants on chromosomes 1-22 and X with a minor allele count ≥ 5. In gene-based analyses, PVs were defined as rare variants (minor allele frequency [MAF] < 1% in controls) that had either a Variant Effect Predictor (VEP) impact score of “high” or a pathogenic or likely pathogenic ClinVar classification. Associations were estimated using Firth logistic regression, adjusting for age and the top ten genetic principal components. Results from individual studies were combined using fixed-effect meta-analysis. In single-variant association analyses, 496 variants reached genome-wide significance (p<5×10 -8 ; MAF>0.02%). Among these, 458 (92%) variants mapped to previously known risk regions, including three rare PVs in HOXB13 (rs138213197), CHEK2 (rs555607708), and FAM111A (rs533676902). Characterization of the remaining 38 variants is ongoing. Gene-based analyses identified significant associations (p<2.4×10 -6 ) for eight genes: HOXB13 (OR=3.7, 95% CI=3.3-4.2) , BRCA2 (OR=2.0, 95% CI=1.7-2.3) , CHEK2 (OR=1.6, 95% CI=1.5-1.8) , ATM (OR=1.6, 95% CI=1.4-1.9) , FAM111A (OR=1.4, 95% CI=1.3-1.5) , BIK (OR=1.4, 95% CI=1.2-1.6) , SAMHD1 (OR=2.1, 95% CI=1.6-2.7), and SMOC2 (OR=3.2, 95% CI=2.0-5.1) . All genes except SMOC2 have been previously implicated in PCa susceptibility. Among cancer predisposition and DNA repair genes, nominal associations were also observed for XRCC2 (OR=1.6, 95% CIs=1.2-2.3) and BRCA1 (OR=1.2, 95% CI=1.0-1.4), whereas the association was not significant for PALB2 (OR=1.2, 95% CI=0.9-1.5). These findings reinforce the role of rare germline PVs, particularly in cancer predisposition and DNA repair genes, in PCa susceptibility. As additional studies are incorporated into the Consortium, we expect this work to provide a more comprehensive characterization of the genetic architecture of PCa.